Ep. 85 - Metaculus: Aggregating emotions, expertise, and data into Prediction Engine

Part 2 of Max's discussion with Anthony Aguirre, cofounder of the Metaculus prediction engine. Topics include: - The difference between making short term, long term, and theoretical predictions - The human mind and human emotions - as imperfect as they are - being world's best tool for prediction making - Calibrating your probabilities, on an individual and group level - Predictions of humor-detecting AI, waking up after being cryogenically frozen, and political developments localmaxradio.com/85 metaculus.com